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Econ 414 - Urban Economics

Housing Policy

Marcelino Guerra

March 25, 2021

Motivation

  • We already saw many government policies that affect housing, such as land-use regulations and the tax subsidy to homeownership

  • Now, we analyze additional public policies in the housing market: rent-control laws and housing-subsidy programs

  • Rent control benefits current tenants in the short-term but has pervasive long-run effects on overall welfare

  • A less distortionary policy is to offer a subsidy to specific groups. However, each program involves opposing interests between the ones who finance the assistance (taxpayers) and the targeted group

Rent Control

How it works

  • Rent-control laws typically limit the rate of rent's increase for a dwelling during a tenant's period of residence

    • When a new tenant moves in, the rent can be raised, but the subsequent rent increase is again restricted for the period of occupancy
    • New construction is usually exempt from rent control since "legislators do not want to discourage new development"
  • Although rent control helps current tenants in the short run, there are many adverse effects associated with this policy

    • Facing reduced profit, the landlord might want to cut costs, and one expense that can be lowered easily is maintenance. In other words, rent-controlled buildings are more likely to be dilapidated compared to uncontrolled buildings
    • Housing developers, expecting future changes in the law that would include newer buildings, have less incentive to construct new apartments
    • Households who live under controlled rent are less likely to move and give up their rent control, even if their housing needs change
  • Examples in Cambridge-MA and San Francisco-CA

The Stock Flow Model

  • The stock-flow model captures the distinction between the stock of housing and the flow of new construction

  • The graph on the left - housing price p and quantity H - represents the stock side of the housing market (the supply curves S) and the aggregate demand for housing D

  • The graph on the right represents the flow supply curve SΔH and the net flow of new housing into the market ΔH

  • When the price is higher than the equilibrium pe, there will be new construction, and the net flow ΔH is positive. When the price is lower than pe, the net flow is negative: the supply of rental apartments is shrinking

Demand Shocks

  • Suppose the economy starts in equilibrium (i.e., p=pe and H=He), and is then subject to a demand shock - the demand curve moves from D to D. According to the stock-flow model, there would be a spike in prices in the beginning since the housing stock does not respond immediately to the shock: pe increases to p
  • The new price p indicates scarcity and, as time passes, m new constructions would be added to the former He stock of houses, bringing down the price until it again reaches pe

  • During the transition, existing residents suffer from higher housing costs. As a consequence, they may persuade the local government to impose a rent-control law immediately after the demand shock, limiting price to pc

Demand Shocks under Rent Control

  • To see how rent control affects new construction, assume that old and new buildings are subject to the new rent control law - prices cannot increase above pc

  • The rent control affects the market's response to the demand shock interfering in the signal of housing scarcity: prices

  • By keeping the price artificially low under conditions of high demand, the rent control prevents the developers from responding with an appropriately massive burst of new construction

  • Eventually, the slow-growing housing stock reaches a size of ˆH. At that point, rent control does not bite anymore and the rental price, at last, reaches the equilibriu pe

Affordable Housing

Overview

  • One justification for rent control is to help low-income renters. However, rent-control benefits are usually distributed in a highly unsystematic fashion

  • Another way of reducing housing costs without interfering directly in prices is to subsidize consumption explicitly

  • Besides, housing-subsidy programs may serve two goals: raise the standard of living of the targeted group and curb the negative externality associated with "slums"

  • Given that twin focus, the following analysis considers two effects of subsidy programs: the increase in the utility of the targeted group (the rise in the standard of living), and the slum-reduction effect, i.e., the rise in housing consumption generated by the subsidy

  • Have in mind that the steady rise in rental prices is a signal, and another way to make rentals more affordable is to increase housing supply removing barriers to construction of housing for both high and low-income families.

Proportional Rent Subsidy

  • Consider households that maximize U(c,q) subject to a budget constraint y=c+pq
  • The slope of the budget constraint is dqdc=1p

  • The low-income consumer maximizes his utility at the tangency point between his indifference curve and the budget line (points q0, c0)

  • Assume that the government pays a fraction β of the household's rent bill pq. Now, the household pays only a fraction of the former bill, and his new budget constraint is y=c+(1β)pq. The respective new slope is dqdc=1(1β)p

Proportional Rent Subsidy

  • The slope of the budget constraint is more negative, so the line gets steeper, rotating in the counterclockwise direction around its c intercept
  • The household can reach a higher utility level - effectively, housing prices are now lower (the government is subsidizing a fraction of the rent)

  • Besides, the PRS program achieves slum reduction by increasing the household's consumption of housing from q0 to qPRS

Income-Grant Program

  • Now, consider a different kind of program: the government gives the low-income household an income grant G, not necessarily tied to housing consumption. Assume also that G=βpq, i.e., the income grant is equal to the PRS program in terms of benefits in $
  • The budget line is now y+G=c+pq, and it shifts in a parallel fashion, without changing the slope

  • Both the consumption of housing q and bread c are now higher, and the consumer can reach a higher indifference curve

  • The IG program yields to a higher utility level - households are free to choose the optimal quantities of q and c. On the other hand, the slum-reduction effect is higher under the PRS program

Housing Voucher Program

  • Housing voucher is very similar to IG program: it involves giving low-income households vouchers to purchase housing q. Again, assume that HV=G=βpq. There will be a shift in a parallel fashion, but the consumption of c cannot be higher than y - the maximum amount that consumers could acquire in the original pre-subsidy situation.
  • The resulted optimal consumption point is shown in the figure (qHV). When the household is free to choose his optimal consumption levels of c and q, he would like to consume qIG,cIG. Using the housing voucher, he cannot choose more bread than y, preventing him from moving onto the dashed segment

  • In this scenario, the HV program generates an outcome that lies between the PRS and the IG outcomes

Public Housing Program

  • Another type of subsidy is the provision of public housing. Basically, the government builds better housing units at below-market rents. Thus, households receive a dwelling instead of a financial transfer
  • Assume that the household pays the same rent to the government as he/she paid for his original unit where the housing consumption was q0. Also, suppose that the government invested G=HV=βpq (same as the other subsidies) in building better dwellings

  • Since the consumer is paying the same rent pq and getting the same income y, he will consume the same amount of c as in the pre-subsidy situation.

  • Because the government spends G per household in those new dwellings, the vertical movement of the budget line is the same as in the Income Grant or Housing Voucher programs. As a result, the household consumes the same old c and a new qPH

Public Housing Program

  • One can see that the Public Housing program yields the most considerable slum-reduction effect of all the plans - qPH>qPRS>qHV>qIG -, while generating the smallest increase in utility level

  • On the other hand, in terms of utility, UIG>UHV>UPRS>UPH

  • Society's choice of a particular program would thus involve opposing interests

Motivation

  • We already saw many government policies that affect housing, such as land-use regulations and the tax subsidy to homeownership

  • Now, we analyze additional public policies in the housing market: rent-control laws and housing-subsidy programs

  • Rent control benefits current tenants in the short-term but has pervasive long-run effects on overall welfare

  • A less distortionary policy is to offer a subsidy to specific groups. However, each program involves opposing interests between the ones who finance the assistance (taxpayers) and the targeted group

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